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AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win65%
Draw21%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZGo Ahead Eagles
Expected goals3.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 21% / 15%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Go Ahead Eagles win (14.8%)Double chance1X85.2%1.17
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.19 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapGo Ahead Eagles winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ win65%1.541.4065.5%-0.5 pp
Draw21%4.764.5020.4%+0.6 pp
Go Ahead Eagles win15%6.676.5014.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ1.92

Home share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals3.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Go Ahead Eagles1.27

Away share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AZ

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Go Ahead Eagles

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
13
1.92
Expected goals
1.27
AZGo Ahead Eagles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Go Ahead Eagles signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ win 65%,Draw 21%,Go Ahead Eagles win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over