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NLD Hollandia - Eredivisie · Mérkőzés ·

AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem65%
Döntetlen21%
Vendég győzelem15%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZGo Ahead Eagles
Expected goals3.19Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett62% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
65% / 21% / 15%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Go Ahead Eagles win (14.8%)Dupla esély1X85.2%1.17
Felett 62% · Alatt 38%Goals 2.5Felett62%1.61
Igen 62% · Nem 38%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen62%1.61
3.19 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
11.0 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapGo Ahead Eagles winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ win65%1.541.4065.5%-0.5 pp
Döntetlen21%4.764.5020.4%+0.6 pp
Go Ahead Eagles win15%6.676.5014.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ1.92

Hazai share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals3.19Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 62% · Alatt 38%

Go Ahead Eagles1.27

Vendég share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 62% · Nem 38%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

AZ

2.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontok13

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Go Ahead Eagles

2.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontok13

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Nyert probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
13
1.92
Expected goals
1.27
AZGo Ahead Eagles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Go Ahead Eagles signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ nyer 65%,Döntetlen 21%,Go Ahead Eagles nyer 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · 2.5 felett 62% · Current selection Felett