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NLD Tarile de Jos - Eredivisie · Meci ·

AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.19 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde65%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZGo Ahead Eagles
Expected goals3.19Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
65% / 21% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Go Ahead Eagles win (14.8%)Șansă dublă1X85.2%1.17
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 62% · Nu 38%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa62%1.61
3.19 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapGo Ahead Eagles winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ win65%1.541.4065.5%-0.5 pp
Egal21%4.764.5020.4%+0.6 pp
Go Ahead Eagles win15%6.676.5014.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ1.92

Gazde share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals3.19Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

Go Ahead Eagles1.27

Oaspeți share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 62% · Nu 38%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

AZ

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Go Ahead Eagles

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
13
Points from supplied form
13
1.92
Expected goals
1.27
AZGo Ahead Eagles
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Go Ahead Eagles signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ câștig 65%,Egal 21%,Go Ahead Eagles câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste