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NLD Tarile de Jos - Eredivisie · Meci ·

FC Utrecht vs PSV

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.95 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde29%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți46%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți46% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC UtrechtPSV
Expected goals3.95Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste76% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
29% / 24% / 46%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Șansă dublă1275.7%1.32
Peste 76% · Sub 24%Goals 2.5Peste76%1.32
Da 73% · Nu 27%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73%1.37
3.95 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FC Utrecht win29%3.45
Egal24%4.17
PSV win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Utrecht1.64

Gazde share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals3.95Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 76% · Sub 24%

PSV2.31

Oaspeți share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 73% · Nu 27%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

PSV

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Câștig probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
11
1.64
Expected goals
2.31
FC UtrechtPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Utrecht signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Utrecht vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Utrecht câștig 29%,Egal 24%,PSV câștig 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.95 · Peste 2.5 76% · Current selection Peste