Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 24% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37
3.95 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Utrecht win29%3.45
Draw24%4.17
PSV win46%2.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 41.5%
Total expected goals3.95Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%
Away share of expected goals 58.5%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchFC Utrecht
DLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchPSV
WWDDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
29%
Win probability excluding draw
46%1
Points from supplied form
111.64
Expected goals
2.31FC UtrechtPSV
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
FC Utrecht vs PSV FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Utrecht win 29%，Draw 24%，PSV win 46%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.95 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over。