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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

PEC Zwolle vs N.E.C.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.87 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst26%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst50%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PEC ZwolleN.E.C.
Expected goals3.87Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
26% / 24% / 50%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Dubbele Kans1276.1%1.31
Boven 74% · Onder 26%Goals 2.5Boven74%1.35
Ja 70% · Nee 30%Beide teams scorenJa70%1.43
3.87 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
PEC Zwolle win26%3.85
Gelijkspel24%4.17
N.E.C. win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PEC Zwolle1.46

Thuis share of expected goals 37.7%

Total expected goals3.87Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 74% · Onder 26%

N.E.C.2.41

Uit share of expected goals 62.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nee 30%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

PEC Zwolle

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

N.E.C.

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.46
Expected goals
2.41
PEC ZwolleN.E.C.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PEC Zwolle signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02N.E.C. signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

PEC Zwolle vs N.E.C. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PEC Zwolle gewonnen 26%,Gelijkspel 24%,N.E.C. gewonnen 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Boven 2.5 74% · Current selection Boven