Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 25% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (21.5%)Dubbele Kans1X78.5%1.27
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapMotherwell winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Motherwell win54%1.851.8052.4%+1.6 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Falkirk win21%4.764.2022.5%-1.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 73.4%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%
Uit share of expected goals 26.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchMotherwell
WLLWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFalkirk
LWDWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%6
Points from supplied form
72.13
Expected goals
0.77MotherwellFalkirk
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Motherwell vs Falkirk FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Motherwell gewonnen 54%，Gelijkspel 25%，Falkirk gewonnen 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven。