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SCO Szkocja - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy58%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości18%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MotherwellFalkirk
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
58% / 25% / 18%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (17.7%)Podwójna szansa1X82.3%1.22
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Motherwell win58%1.72
Remis25%4.00
Falkirk win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motherwell2.13

Gospodarze share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Falkirk0.77

Goście share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Motherwell

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Falkirk

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.13
Expected goals
0.77
MotherwellFalkirk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motherwell signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Falkirk signalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Motherwell vs Falkirk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motherwell wygrana 58%,Remis 25%,Falkirk wygrana 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej