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SCO Шотландия - Висша Лига · Round 1 ·

Мъдъруел vs Фолкърк

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина54%
Равен25%
Победа за госта21%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина54% selection probability
Projected score2–1МъдъруелФолкърк
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
54% / 25% / 21%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фолкърк win (21.5%)Двоен шанс1X78.5%1.27
Над 56% · Под 44%Goals 2.5Над56%1.79
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapМъдъруел winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мъдъруел win54%1.851.8052.4%+1.6 pp
Равен25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Фолкърк win21%4.764.2022.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мъдъруел2.13

Домакин share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 56% · Под 44%

Фолкърк0.77

Гост share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Мъдъруел

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фолкърк

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.13
Expected goals
0.77
МъдъруелФолкърк
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мъдъруел signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фолкърк signalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Мъдъруел vs Фолкърк FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мъдъруел печеливш 54%,Равен 25%,Фолкърк печеливш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Над 2.5 56% · Current selection Над