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SCO Шотландия - Премьершип · Round 1 ·

Мотеруэлл vs Фалкирк

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей22%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1МотеруэллФалкирк
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 25% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фалкирк win (22%)Двойной шанс1X78%1.28
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapМотеруэлл winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мотеруэлл win53%1.891.8351.7%+1.3 pp
Ничья25%4.003.7525.2%-0.2 pp
Фалкирк win22%4.554.1023.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мотеруэлл2.13

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Фалкирк0.77

Гости share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мотеруэлл

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фалкирк

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.13
Expected goals
0.77
МотеруэллФалкирк
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мотеруэлл signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фалкирк signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Мотеруэлл vs Фалкирк FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мотеруэлл выигрыш 53%,Ничья 25%,Фалкирк выигрыш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше