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SCO Šotimaa Premiership · Round 1 ·

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit54%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit21%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit54% selection probability
Projected score2–1MotherwellFalkirk
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle56% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
54% / 25% / 21%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (21.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X78.5%1.27
Üle 56% · Alla 44%Goals 2.5Üle56%1.79
Jah 48% · Ei 52%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapMotherwell winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Motherwell win54%1.851.8052.4%+1.6 pp
Viik25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Falkirk win21%4.764.2022.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motherwell2.13

Kodu share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 56% · Alla 44%

Falkirk0.77

Võõras share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 48% · Ei 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Motherwell

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Falkirk

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalVõõras matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Võit probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.13
Expected goals
0.77
MotherwellFalkirk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motherwell signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Falkirk signalVõõras matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Motherwell vs Falkirk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motherwell võit 54%,Viik 25%,Falkirk võit 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Üle 2.5 56% · Current selection Üle