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SCO Écosse - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile53%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur22%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile53% selection probability
Projected score2–1MotherwellFalkirk
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
53% / 25% / 22%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (22%)Double chance1X78%1.28
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapMotherwell winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Motherwell win53%1.891.8351.7%+1.3 pp
Nul25%4.003.7525.2%-0.2 pp
Falkirk win22%4.554.1023.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motherwell2.13

Domicile share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%

Falkirk0.77

Extérieur share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Motherwell

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Falkirk

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gagné probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.13
Expected goals
0.77
MotherwellFalkirk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motherwell signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Falkirk signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Motherwell vs Falkirk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motherwell victoire 53%,Nul 25%,Falkirk victoire 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de