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SCO Écosse - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 22% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDundee Utd winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hearts win59%1.691.6258.3%+0.7 pp
Nul22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Dundee Utd win19%5.264.7519.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.17

Domicile share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Dundee Utd0.71

Extérieur share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
3
Points from supplied form
10
2.17
Expected goals
0.71
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts victoire 59%,Nul 22%,Dundee Utd victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de