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SCO Scotland Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır59%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır19%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır59% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
59% / 22% / 19%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (18.9%)Çifte Şans1X81.1%1.23
Üst 55% · Alt 45%Goals 2.5Üst55%1.82
Evet 45% · Hayır 55%Karşılıklı gol varHayır55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.0 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDundee Utd winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hearts win59%1.691.6258.3%+0.7 pp
Beraberlik22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Dundee Utd win19%5.264.7519.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.17

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 55% · Alt 45%

Dundee Utd0.71

Deplasman share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 45% · Hayır 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
19%
3
Points from supplied form
3
2.17
Expected goals
0.71
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts kazanç 59%,Beraberlik 22%,Dundee Utd kazanç 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · 2.5 Üst 55% · Current selection Üst