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SCO Scotland Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır25%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır50%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır50% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.39Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst66% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
25% / 25% / 50%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (24.7%)Çifte ŞansX275.3%1.33
Üst 66% · Alt 34%Goals 2.5Üst66%1.52
Evet 63% · Hayır 37%Karşılıklı gol varEvet63%1.59
3.39 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Kilmarnock win25%4.00
Beraberlik25%4.00
Celtic win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.22

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 36%

Total expected goals3.39Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 66% · Alt 34%

Celtic2.17

Deplasman share of expected goals 64%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 63% · Hayır 37%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
50%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.22
Expected goals
2.17
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock kazanç 25%,Beraberlik 25%,Celtic kazanç 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · 2.5 Üst 66% · Current selection Üst