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SCO Schotland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst25%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst50%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst50% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.39Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
25% / 25% / 50%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (24.7%)Dubbele KansX275.3%1.33
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.39 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Kilmarnock win25%4.00
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Celtic win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.22

Thuis share of expected goals 36%

Total expected goals3.39Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Celtic2.17

Uit share of expected goals 64%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
50%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.22
Expected goals
2.17
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock gewonnen 25%,Gelijkspel 25%,Celtic gewonnen 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven