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SCO Scotland Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier25%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier50%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier50% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.39Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
25% / 25% / 50%KampresultatBorteseier50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (24.7%)Dobbel sjanseX275.3%1.33
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Ja 63% · Nei 37%Begge lag scorerJa63%1.59
3.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Kilmarnock win25%4.00
Uavgjort25%4.00
Celtic win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.22

Hjemme share of expected goals 36%

Total expected goals3.39Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Celtic2.17

Borte share of expected goals 64%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nei 37%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
50%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.22
Expected goals
2.17
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock vunnet 25%,Uavgjort 25%,Celtic vunnet 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over