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SCO Skotland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr25%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr50%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr50% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.39Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
25% / 25% / 50%KampresultatUdesejr50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (24.7%)DobbeltchanceX275.3%1.33
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Kilmarnock win25%4.00
Uafgjort25%4.00
Celtic win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.22

Hjemme share of expected goals 36%

Total expected goals3.39Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Celtic2.17

Ude share of expected goals 64%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vundet probability excluding draw
50%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.22
Expected goals
2.17
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock vundet 25%,Uafgjort 25%,Celtic vundet 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over