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SCO Schotland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst16%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 24% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (16.3%)Dubbele Kans1X83.7%1.19
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Hearts win60%1.67
Gelijkspel24%4.17
Dundee Utd win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.17

Thuis share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

Dundee Utd0.71

Uit share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%
3
Points from supplied form
10
2.17
Expected goals
0.71
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 24%,Dundee Utd gewonnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven