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SCO Escocia - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local59%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante19%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local59% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
59% / 22% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (18.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.1%1.23
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDundee Utd winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hearts win59%1.691.6258.3%+0.7 pp
Empate22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Dundee Utd win19%5.264.7519.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.17

Local share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

Dundee Utd0.71

Visitante share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%
3
Points from supplied form
3
2.17
Expected goals
0.71
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts ganada 59%,Empate 22%,Dundee Utd ganada 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de