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SCO Scozia - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa59%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa59% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
59% / 22% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (18.9%)Doppia Chance1X81.1%1.23
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapDundee Utd winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hearts win59%1.691.6258.3%+0.7 pp
Pareggio22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Dundee Utd win19%5.264.7519.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.17

Casa share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%

Dundee Utd0.71

Trasferta share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
3
Points from supplied form
3
2.17
Expected goals
0.71
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts vinta 59%,Pareggio 22%,Dundee Utd vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra