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SCO Escocia - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local58%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante18%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local58% selection probability
Projected score2–1MotherwellFalkirk
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
58% / 25% / 18%Resultado del partidoVictoria local58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (17.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X82.3%1.22
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Motherwell win58%1.72
Empate25%4.00
Falkirk win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motherwell2.13

Local share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Falkirk0.77

Visitante share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Motherwell

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Falkirk

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Ganado probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.13
Expected goals
0.77
MotherwellFalkirk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motherwell signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Falkirk signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Motherwell vs Falkirk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motherwell ganada 58%,Empate 25%,Falkirk ganada 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de