Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 25% / 18%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (17.7%)Double chance1X82.3%1.22
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Motherwell win58%1.72
Draw25%4.00
Falkirk win18%5.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 73.4%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 26.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchMotherwell
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFalkirk
LWDWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Win probability excluding draw
18%6
Points from supplied form
72.13
Expected goals
0.77MotherwellFalkirk
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Motherwell vs Falkirk FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Motherwell win 58%，Draw 25%，Falkirk win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。