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SCO Écosse - Premiership · Match ·

Dundee vs Aberdeen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score1–1DundeeAberdeen
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 27% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Double chance1272.8%1.37
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapDundee winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dundee win36%2.782.7035.1%+0.9 pp
Nul27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Aberdeen win37%2.702.5037.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dundee1.30

Domicile share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Aberdeen1.05

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dundee

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Aberdeen

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.30
Expected goals
1.05
DundeeAberdeen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dundee signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aberdeen signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dundee vs Aberdeen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dundee victoire 36%,Nul 27%,Aberdeen victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de