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SCO Skottland - Premiership · Match ·

Dundee vs Aberdeen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger36%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger37%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger37% selection probability
Projected score1–1DundeeAberdeen
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
36% / 27% / 37%MatchresultatBortaseger37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dubbelchans1272.8%1.37
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapDundee winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dundee win36%2.782.7035.1%+0.9 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Aberdeen win37%2.702.5037.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dundee1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

Aberdeen1.05

Borta share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Dundee

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Aberdeen

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.30
Expected goals
1.05
DundeeAberdeen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dundee signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aberdeen signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dundee vs Aberdeen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dundee vunnen 36%,Oavgjort 27%,Aberdeen vunnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under