Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
59% / 21% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jong Ajax win (19.4%)Dubbele Kans1X80.6%1.24
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapFC Dordrecht winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Dordrecht win59%1.691.5760.1%-1.1 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.5021%0.0 pp
Jong Ajax win19%5.265.0018.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 59.2%
Total expected goals2.77Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%
Uit share of expected goals 40.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Dordrecht
LWWLW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchJong Ajax
LLWLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
59%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%9
Points from supplied form
31.64
Expected goals
1.13FC DordrechtJong Ajax
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
FC Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Dordrecht gewonnen 59%，Gelijkspel 21%，Jong Ajax gewonnen 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.77 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven。