MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–1VitesseRKC Waalwijk
Expected goals3.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 25% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapVitesse winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vitesse win39%2.562.4039%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
RKC Waalwijk win36%2.782.6036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vitesse1.77

Thuis share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

RKC Waalwijk1.50

Uit share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Vitesse

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

RKC Waalwijk

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.50
VitesseRKC Waalwijk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vitesse signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02RKC Waalwijk signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Vitesse vs RKC Waalwijk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vitesse gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 25%,RKC Waalwijk gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven