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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.96 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Den BoschAlmere City
Expected goals3.96Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 25% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1275.3%1.33
Boven 76% · Onder 24%Goals 2.5Boven76%1.32
Ja 74% · Nee 26%Beide teams scorenJa74%1.35
3.96 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Den Bosch win34%2.94
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Almere City win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Den Bosch1.83

Thuis share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.96Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 76% · Onder 24%

Almere City2.13

Uit share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 74% · Nee 26%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Den Bosch

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Almere City

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
2.13
FC Den BoschAlmere City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Den Bosch signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almere City signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Den Bosch gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 25%,Almere City gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Boven 2.5 76% · Current selection Boven