MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst27%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst46%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
27% / 27% / 46%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dubbele Kans1272.9%1.37
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Helmond Sport win27%3.70
Gelijkspel27%3.70
De Graafschap win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Helmond Sport1.16

Thuis share of expected goals 39.5%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

De Graafschap1.78

Uit share of expected goals 60.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Helmond Sport

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.16
Expected goals
1.78
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Helmond Sport signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02De Graafschap signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Helmond Sport gewonnen 27%,Gelijkspel 27%,De Graafschap gewonnen 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven