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NLD Holandia - Eerste Divisie · Mecz ·

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.95 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy27%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości46%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
27% / 27% / 46%Wynik meczuWygrana gości46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Podwójna szansa1273%1.37
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Helmond Sport win27%3.70
Remis27%3.70
De Graafschap win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Helmond Sport1.16

Gospodarze share of expected goals 39.3%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

De Graafschap1.79

Goście share of expected goals 60.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Helmond Sport

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.16
Expected goals
1.79
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Helmond Sport signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02De Graafschap signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Helmond Sport wygrana 27%,Remis 27%,De Graafschap wygrana 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej