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NLD Holandsko - Eerste Divisie · Zápas ·

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich27%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí46%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac56% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
27% / 27% / 46%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dvojitá šanca1272.9%1.37
Viac 56% · Menej 44%Goals 2.5Viac56%1.79
Áno 57% · Nie 43%Oba tímy skórujúÁno57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.7 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Helmond Sport win27%3.70
Remíza27%3.70
De Graafschap win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Helmond Sport1.16

Domáci share of expected goals 39.5%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 56% · Menej 44%

De Graafschap1.78

Hostia share of expected goals 60.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Helmond Sport

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Výhra probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.16
Expected goals
1.78
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Helmond Sport signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02De Graafschap signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Helmond Sport výhra 27%,Remíza 27%,De Graafschap výhra 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Viac 2.5 56% · Current selection Viac