Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 27% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.95 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Helmond Sport win27%3.70
Draw27%3.70
De Graafschap win46%2.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 39.3%
Total expected goals2.95Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 60.7%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchHelmond Sport
WLLDL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchDe Graafschap
WLWDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
27%
Win probability excluding draw
46%4
Points from supplied form
71.16
Expected goals
1.79Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Helmond Sport win 27%，Draw 27%，De Graafschap win 46%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。