Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 28% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Maastricht win29%3.45
Draw28%3.57
FC Utrecht Reserves win43%2.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 41.5%
Total expected goals2.84Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%
Away share of expected goals 58.5%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMaastricht
DLDDL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFC Utrecht Reserves
LWDWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
29%
Win probability excluding draw
43%3
Points from supplied form
71.18
Expected goals
1.66MaastrichtFC Utrecht Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Maastricht vs FC Utrecht Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Maastricht win 29%，Draw 28%，FC Utrecht Reserves win 43%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.84 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over。