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NLD Nederlandene - Eerste Divisie · Kamp ·

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.84 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr29%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr43%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr43% selection probability
Projected score1–2MaastrichtFC Utrecht reserver
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
29% / 28% / 43%KampresultatUdesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dobbeltchance1272.3%1.38
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Begge hold scorerJa57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Maastricht win29%3.45
Uafgjort28%3.57
FC Utrecht reserver win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maastricht1.18

Hjemme share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FC Utrecht reserver1.66

Ude share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Maastricht

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht reserver

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vundet probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.66
MaastrichtFC Utrecht reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maastricht signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Utrecht reserver signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maastricht vundet 29%,Uafgjort 28%,FC Utrecht reserver vundet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over