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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

MVV vs Jong FC Utrecht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.84 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst29%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst43%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–2MVVJong FC Utrecht
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
29% / 28% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbele Kans1272.3%1.38
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
MVV win29%3.45
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Jong FC Utrecht win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MVV1.18

Thuis share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Jong FC Utrecht1.66

Uit share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

MVV

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Jong FC Utrecht

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.66
MVVJong FC Utrecht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MVV signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jong FC Utrecht signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MVV vs Jong FC Utrecht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MVV gewonnen 29%,Gelijkspel 28%,Jong FC Utrecht gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven