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NLD Nederländerna - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.84 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger29%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger43%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–2MaastrichtFC Utrecht reserver
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
29% / 28% / 43%MatchresultatBortaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbelchans1272.3%1.38
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Maastricht win29%3.45
Oavgjort28%3.57
FC Utrecht reserver win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maastricht1.18

Hemma share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

FC Utrecht reserver1.66

Borta share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Maastricht

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht reserver

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.66
MaastrichtFC Utrecht reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maastricht signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Utrecht reserver signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maastricht vunnen 29%,Oavgjort 28%,FC Utrecht reserver vunnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över