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NLD Nederländerna - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

FC Emmen vs Roda JC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger34%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC EmmenRoda JC
Expected goals3.10Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
34% / 27% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dubbelchans1272.8%1.37
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Båda lagen gör målJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
11.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Emmen win34%2.94
Oavgjort27%3.70
Roda JC win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Emmen1.45

Hemma share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals3.10Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

Roda JC1.65

Borta share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Roda JC

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.45
Expected goals
1.65
FC EmmenRoda JC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Emmen signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roda JC signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Emmen vs Roda JC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Emmen vunnen 34%,Oavgjort 27%,Roda JC vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över