MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

FC Emmen vs Roda JC Kerkrade

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC EmmenRoda JC Kerkrade
Expected goals3.10Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 25% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Dubbele Kans1274.8%1.34
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
11.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapRoda JC Kerkrade winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Emmen win39%2.562.3839.2%-0.2 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7025.2%-0.2 pp
Roda JC Kerkrade win36%2.782.6335.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Emmen1.45

Thuis share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals3.10Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Roda JC Kerkrade1.65

Uit share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Roda JC Kerkrade

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.45
Expected goals
1.65
FC EmmenRoda JC Kerkrade
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Emmen signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roda JC Kerkrade signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Emmen vs Roda JC Kerkrade FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Emmen gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 25%,Roda JC Kerkrade gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven