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NLD Niederlande - Eerste Divisie · Spiel ·

FC Emmen vs Roda JC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg36%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC EmmenRoda JC
Expected goals3.10Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 25% / 36%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Doppelte Chance1274.8%1.34
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
11.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapRoda JC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Emmen win39%2.562.3839.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.7025.2%-0.2 pp
Roda JC win36%2.782.6335.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Emmen1.45

Heim share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals3.10Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

Roda JC1.65

Auswärts share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Roda JC

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.45
Expected goals
1.65
FC EmmenRoda JC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Emmen signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roda JC signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Emmen vs Roda JC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Emmen Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 25%,Roda JC Gewinn 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über