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NLD Niederlande - Eerste Divisie · Spiel ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax - Reserve
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 28% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppelte Chance1272%1.39
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
FC Dordrecht win44%2.27
Unentschieden28%3.57
Ajax - Reserve win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Heim share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

Ajax - Reserve1.13

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Ajax - Reserve

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax - Reserve signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 28%,Ajax - Reserve Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über