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NLD Hollandia - Eerste Divisie · Mérkőzés ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - tartalék

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem59%
Döntetlen21%
Vendég győzelem19%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax - tartalék
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett52% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
59% / 21% / 19%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax - tartalék win (19.4%)Dupla esély1X80.6%1.24
Felett 52% · Alatt 48%Goals 2.5Felett52%1.92
Igen 55% · Nem 45%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.4 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapFC Dordrecht winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Dordrecht win59%1.691.5760.1%-1.1 pp
Döntetlen21%4.764.5021%0.0 pp
Ajax - tartalék win19%5.265.0018.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Hazai share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 52% · Alatt 48%

Ajax - tartalék1.13

Vendég share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 55% · Nem 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalHazai won 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Ajax - tartalék

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Nyert probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax - tartalék
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalHazai won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax - tartalék signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - tartalék FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht nyer 59%,Döntetlen 21%,Ajax - tartalék nyer 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · 2.5 felett 52% · Current selection Felett