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NLD Pays-Bas - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Réserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax - Réserves
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 28% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Double chance1272%1.39
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
FC Dordrecht win44%2.27
Nul28%3.57
Ajax - Réserves win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Domicile share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

Ajax - Réserves1.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ajax - Réserves

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax - Réserves signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht victoire 44%,Nul 28%,Ajax - Réserves victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de