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NLD Нидерландия - Ерсте Дивизия · Мач ·

ФК Дордрехт vs Аякс резерви

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина57%
Равен22%
Победа за госта21%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК ДордрехтАякс резерви
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
57% / 22% / 21%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Аякс резерви win (21%)Двоен шанс1X79%1.27
Над 52% · Под 48%Goals 2.5Над52%1.92
Да 55% · Не 45%И двата отбора да отбележатДа55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.4 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.8%Largest probability gapФК Дордрехт winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Дордрехт win57%1.751.6058%-1.0 pp
Равен22%4.554.3321.4%+0.6 pp
Аякс резерви win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Дордрехт1.64

Домакин share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 52% · Под 48%

Аякс резерви1.13

Гост share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Не 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Дордрехт

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Аякс резерви

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
ФК ДордрехтАякс резерви
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Дордрехт signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аякс резерви signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

ФК Дордрехт vs Аякс резерви FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Дордрехт печеливш 57%,Равен 22%,Аякс резерви печеливш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Над 2.5 52% · Current selection Над