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NLD Países Bajos - Eerste Divisie · Partido ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax - B
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de52% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 28% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doble Oportunidad1272%1.39
Más de 52% · Menos de 48%Goals 2.5Más de52%1.92
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
FC Dordrecht win44%2.27
Empate28%3.57
Ajax - B win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Local share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 52% · Menos de 48%

Ajax - B1.13

Visitante share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ajax - B

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax - B signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht ganada 44%,Empate 28%,Ajax - B ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Más de 2.5 52% · Current selection Más de