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FCドルトレヒト vs アヤックスリザーブ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1FCドルトレヒトアヤックスリザーブ
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 28% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)ダブルチャンス1272%1.39
オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%Goals 2.5オーバー52%1.92
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.77 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.4 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FCドルトレヒト win44%2.27
引き分け28%3.57
アヤックスリザーブ win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FCドルトレヒト1.64

ホーム share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 52% · アンダー 48%

アヤックスリザーブ1.13

アウェイ share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FCドルトレヒト

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アヤックスリザーブ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FCドルトレヒトアヤックスリザーブ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FCドルトレヒト signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アヤックスリザーブ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FCドルトレヒト vs アヤックスリザーブ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FCドルトレヒト 勝ち 44%,引き分け 28%,アヤックスリザーブ 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · オーバー 2.5 52% · Current selection オーバー