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NLD Holandia - Eerste Divisie · Mecz ·

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Rezerwa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy44%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości28%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy44% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC DordrechtAjax - Rezerwa
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
44% / 28% / 28%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Podwójna szansa1272%1.39
Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%Goals 2.5Powyżej52%1.92
Tak 55% · Nie 45%Obie drużyny strzeląTak55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.4 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
FC Dordrecht win44%2.27
Remis28%3.57
Ajax - Rezerwa win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Dordrecht1.64

Gospodarze share of expected goals 59.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%

Ajax - Rezerwa1.13

Goście share of expected goals 40.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FC Dordrecht

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ajax - Rezerwa

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
28%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
1.13
FC DordrechtAjax - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Dordrecht signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Dordrecht vs Ajax - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Dordrecht wygrana 44%,Remis 28%,Ajax - Rezerwa wygrana 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Powyżej 2.5 52% · Current selection Powyżej