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NLD Pays-Bas - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.96 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile34%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Den BoschAlmere City
Expected goals3.96Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de76% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
34% / 25% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33
Plus de 76% · Moins de 24%Goals 2.5Plus de76%1.32
Oui 74% · Non 26%Les deux équipes marquentOui74%1.35
3.96 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
FC Den Bosch win34%2.94
Nul25%4.00
Almere City win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Den Bosch1.83

Domicile share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.96Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 76% · Moins de 24%

Almere City2.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 74% · Non 26%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FC Den Bosch

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Almere City

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
2.13
FC Den BoschAlmere City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Den Bosch signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almere City signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Den Bosch victoire 34%,Nul 25%,Almere City victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Plus de 2.5 76% · Current selection Plus de