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NLD Ολλανδία - Eerste Divisie · Αγώνας ·

Ντεν Μπος vs Αλμέρ Σίτι

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.96 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου34%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου41%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ντεν ΜποςΑλμέρ Σίτι
Expected goals3.96Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω76% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
34% / 25% / 41%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1275.3%1.33
Άνω 76% · Κάτω 24%Goals 2.5Άνω76%1.32
Ναι 74% · Όχι 26%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι74%1.35
3.96 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
10.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ντεν Μπος win34%2.94
Ισοπαλία25%4.00
Αλμέρ Σίτι win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ντεν Μπος1.83

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.96Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 76% · Κάτω 24%

Αλμέρ Σίτι2.13

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 74% · Όχι 26%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ντεν Μπος

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αλμέρ Σίτι

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
41%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
2.13
Ντεν ΜποςΑλμέρ Σίτι
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ντεν Μπος signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αλμέρ Σίτι signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Ντεν Μπος vs Αλμέρ Σίτι FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ντεν Μπος νίκη 34%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Αλμέρ Σίτι νίκη 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Άνω 2.5 76% · Current selection Άνω