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NLD Нидерланды - Эрстедивизи · Матч ·

ФК Ден Босх vs ФК Алмере Сити

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.96 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей41%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей41% selection probability
Projected score2–2ФК Ден БосхФК Алмере Сити
Expected goals3.96Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше76% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 25% / 41%Исход матчаПобеда гостей41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Двойной шанс1275.3%1.33
Больше 76% · Меньше 24%Goals 2.5Больше76%1.32
Да 74% · Нет 26%Обе забьютДа74%1.35
3.96 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Ден Босх win34%2.94
Ничья25%4.00
ФК Алмере Сити win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Ден Босх1.83

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.96Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 76% · Меньше 24%

ФК Алмере Сити2.13

Гости share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 74% · Нет 26%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Ден Босх

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Алмере Сити

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
2.13
ФК Ден БосхФК Алмере Сити
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Ден Босх signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Алмере Сити signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ФК Ден Босх vs ФК Алмере Сити FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Ден Босх выигрыш 34%,Ничья 25%,ФК Алмере Сити выигрыш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · ТБ 2.5 76% · Current selection Больше