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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eerste Divisie · Partita ·

Den Bosch vs Almere City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.96 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa34%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite41%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Den BoschAlmere City
Expected goals3.96Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 25% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppia Chance1275.3%1.33
Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%Goals 2.5Sopra76%1.32
Sì 74% · No 26%Entrambe le squadre segnano74%1.35
3.96 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Den Bosch win34%2.94
Pareggio25%4.00
Almere City win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Den Bosch1.83

Casa share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.96Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%

Almere City2.13

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 74% · No 26%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Den Bosch

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Almere City

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
2.13
Den BoschAlmere City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Den Bosch signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Almere City signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Den Bosch vs Almere City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Den Bosch vinta 34%,Pareggio 25%,Almere City vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.96 · Sopra 2.5 76% · Current selection Sopra